Champions League scenarios: What Barcelona, Chelsea and others must do to advance to knockout stages

Champions League scenarios: What Barcelona, Chelsea and others must do to advance to knockout stages Barcelona and Chelsea both find themselves far from where they want to be, but what do they need to move on?

Only two matchdays remain in the Champions League league phase, and there's still a ton to play for. Only five teams have clinched their places in the knockout stage, but none have clinched places in the top eight, which will secure passage directly to the round of 16. Arsenal, Bayern Munich, Paris Saint-Germain, Manchester City, and Atalanta are through to the knockouts no matter what happens, but 19 teams still need to join them. Also, with only two matchdays remaining, no team has been eliminated from knockout stage contention in what has been an extremely competitive league phase so far.

Major changes have happened during the break in UCL action, with Chelsea and Real Madrid both entering matchday seven with different managers than they finished matchday six with. More changes could be on the way as well with other clubs like Tottenham struggling in league play, but more places in the knockouts will be clinched during matchday seven, and all the action can be seen on Paramount+.

Let's take a look at what each team needs to move on:

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Arsenal Points: 18 Remaining games: Inter (a), Kairat (h) Can make the top eight with: A win or a draw in their remaining two matches. Can make knockouts with: Arsenal have clinched a place in the top 24. Bayern Munich Points: 15 Remaining games: Union Saint-Gilloise (h), PSV (a) Can make the top eight with: A win in their remaining two matches. Can make knockouts with: Bayern have clinched a place in the top 24. Paris Saint-Germain Points: 13 Remaining games: Sporting CP (a), Newcastle United (h) Can make the top eight with: A win and at least a draw in their remaining two matches. Can make knockouts with: PSG have clinched a place in the top 24. Manchester City Points: 13 Remaining games: Bodo/Glimt (a), Galatasaray (h) Can make the top eight with: A win and at least a draw in their remaining two matches. Can make knockouts with: Manchester City have clinched a place in the top 24. Atalanta Points: 13 Remaining games: Athletic Club (h), Union Saint-Gilloise (a) Can make the top eight with: A win and at least a draw in their remaining two matches. Can make knockouts with: Atalanta have clinched a place in the top 24. Inter Points: 12 Remaining games: Arsenal (a), Dortmund (h) Can make the top eight with: Wins in their final two matches. Can make knockouts with: At least three points in their final two matches. Real Madrid Points: 12 Remaining games: Monaco (h), Benfica (a) Can make the top eight with: Wins in their final two matches. Can make knockouts with: At least three points in their final two matches. Atletico Madrid Points: 12 Remaining games: Galatasaray (h), Bodo/Gimt (a) Can make the top eight with: Wins in their final two matches. Can make knockouts with: At least three points in their final two matches. Liverpool Points: 12 Remaining games: Marseille (a), Qarabag (h) Can make the top eight with: Wins in their final two matches. Can make knockouts with: At least three points in their final two matches. Borussia Dortmund Points: 11 Remaining games: Tottenham (a), Inter (h) Can make the top eight with: Bettering the results of at least two teams placed ahead of them. Can make knockouts with: A win in their remaining two matches. Tottenham Points: 11 Remaining games: Borussia Dortmund (h), Eintracht Frankfurt (a) Can make the top eight with: Bettering the results of at least two teams placed ahead of them. Can make knockouts with: A win in their remaining two matches. Newcastle United Points: 10 Remaining games: PSV (h), PSG (a) Can make the top eight with: bettering the results of at least five teams placed ahead of them. Can make knockouts with: Securing at least four points in their final two matches. Chelsea Points: 10 Remaining games: Pafos (h), Napoli (a) Can make the top eight with: bettering the results of at least five teams placed ahead of them. Can make knockouts with: Securing at least four points in their final two matches. Sporting CP Points: 10 Remaining games: PSG (h), Athletic Club (a) Can make the top eight with: bettering the results of at least five teams placed ahead of them. Can make knockouts with: Securing at least three points in their final two matches. Barcelona Points: 10 Remaining games: Slavia Praha (a), Copenhagen (h) Can make the top eight with: bettering the results of at least five teams placed ahead of them. Can make knockouts with: Securing at least three points in their final two matches. Marseille Points: Nine Remaining games: Liverpool (h), Club Brugge (a) Can make the top eight with: Bettering the results of nine teams ahead of them. Can make knockouts with: Securing at least four points in their final two matches. Juventus Points: Nine Remaining games: Benfica (h), Monaco (a) Can make the top eight with: Bettering the results of nine teams ahead of them. Can make knockouts with: Securing at least four points in their final two matches. Galatasaray Points: Nine Remaining games: Atletico Madrid (h), Manchester City (a) Can make the top eight with: Bettering the results of nine teams ahead of them. Can make knockouts with: Securing at least four points in their final two matches. Monaco Points: Nine Remaining games: Real Madrid (a), Juventus (a) Can make the top eight with: Bettering the results of nine teams ahead of them. Can make knockouts with: Securing at least four points in their final two matches. Bayer Leverkusen Points: Nine Remaining games: Olympiacos (a), Villarreal (h) Can make the top eight with: Bettering the results of nine teams ahead of them. Can make knockouts with: Securing at least four points in their final two matches. PSV Points: Eight Remaining games: Newcastle United (a), Bayern Munich (h) Can make the top eight with: A lot of help, bettering the results of 10 teams placed ahead of them. Can make knockouts with: Two wins in their remaining two matches. Qarabag Points: Seven Remaining games: Eintracht Frankfurt (h), Liverpool (a) Can make knockouts with: Two wins in their remaining two matches. Eliminated with: Securing one point or less in their remaining two matches while a team behind them betters their results. Napoli Points: Seven Remaining games: Copenhagen (a), Chelsea (h) Can make knockouts with: Two wins in their remaining two matches. Eliminated with: Securing one point or less in their remaining two matches while a team behind them betters their results. Copenhagen Points: Seven Remaining games: Napoli (h), Barcelona (a) Can make knockouts with: Two wins in their remaining two matches. Eliminated with: Securing one point or less in their remaining two matches while a team behind them betters their results. Benfica Points: Six Remaining games: Juventus (a), Real Madrid (h) Can make knockouts with: Bettering the results of one team ahead of them. Eliminated with: Failing to pick up a point in their remaining two matches. Pafos Points: Six Remaining games: Chelsea (a), Slavia Praha (h) Can make knockouts with: Bettering the results of one team ahead of them. Eliminated with: Failing to pick up a point in their remaining two matches. Union Saint-Gilloise Points: Six Remaining games: Bayern Munich (a), Atalanta (h) Can make knockouts with: Bettering the results of one team ahead of them. Eliminated with: Failing to pick up a point in their remaining two matches. Athletic Club Points: Five Remaining games: Atalanta (a), Sporting CP (h) Can make knockouts with: Securing at least two points while bettering the results of four teams ahead of them. Eliminated with: Failing to secure at least two points in their last two matches, while also not getting help elsewhere. Olympiacos Points: Five Remaining games: Bayer Leverkusen (h), Ajax (a) Can make knockouts with: Securing at least two points while bettering the results of four teams ahead of them. Eliminated with: Failing to secure at least two points in their last two matches, while also not getting help elsewhere. EIntrach Frankfurt Points: Four Remaining games: Qarabag (a), Tottenham (h) Can make knockouts with: Winning at least one remaining match while bettering the results of five teams ahead of them. Eliminated with: Failing to secure at least three points in their last two matches, while also not getting help elsewhere. Club Brugge Points: Four Remaining games: Kairat Almaty (a), Marseille (h) Can make knockouts with: Winning at least one remaining match while bettering the results of five teams ahead of them. Eliminated with: Failing to secure at least three points in their last two matches, while also not getting help elsewhere. Bodo/Glimt Points: Three Remaining games: Manchester City (h), Atletico Madrid (a) Can make knockouts with: Winning their remaining games while bettering the results of eight teams ahead of them. Eliminated with: Dropping any points in their remaining matches. Slavia Prague Points: Three Remaining games: Barcelona (h), Pafos (a) Can make knockouts with: Winning their remaining games while bettering the results of eight teams ahead of them. Eliminated with: Dropping any points in their remaining matches. Ajax Points: Three Remaining games: Villarreal (a), Olympiacos (h) Can make knockouts with: Winning their remaining games while bettering the results of eight teams ahead of them. Eliminated with: Dropping any points in their remaining matches. Villarreal Points: One Remaining games: Ajax (h), Bayer Leverkusen (a) Can make knockouts with: Winning their remaining games while 11 teams ahead of them fail to pick up points. Eliminated with: Dropping any points in their remaining matches. Kairat Almaty Points: One Remaining games: Club Brugge (h), Arsenal (a) Can make knockouts with: Winning their remaining games while 11 teams ahead of them fail to pick up points. Eliminated with: Dropping any points in their remaining matches.

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